D4 | Sunday Sep 7 2025 - Monday Sep 8 2025 |
D7 | Wednesday Sep 10 2025 - Thursday Sep 11 2025 |
D5 | Monday Sep 8 2025 - Tuesday Sep 9 2025 |
D8 | Thursday Sep 11 2025 - Friday Sep 12 2025 |
D6 | Tuesday Sep 9 2025 - Wednesday Sep 10 2025 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
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