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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: 19-10-2018 01:18

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Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190043
SPC AC 190041

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0741 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z


A few thunderstorms will remain possible across the Texas coastal
area tonight, as well as across portions of the southern High
Plains.  A couple of strikes are also possible this evening over
northern Florida, though greater lightning chances remain offshore
with land-breeze convection.

As a weakening upper low continues drifting east-northeastward
across the interior West, diurnal cooling will result in decreasing
convection/thunder risk.  As such, the thunder area is being removed
from the Utah/Colorado area.

Thunder chances are also diminishing inland over northern Florida,
with the trend toward primarily offshore convection expected

A weak upper disturbance near the southern Texas coast will continue
to support showers and the possibility for a few thunderstorms
overnight, while a similarly weak disturbance crossing the southern
High Plains may also permit a very limited lightning risk to
persist/spread north-northeastward this evening.

..Goss.. 10/19/2018


Day 3

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Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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