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SPC Day 1 Outlook

Updates are issued at 0600 UTC, 1300 UTC, 1630 UTC, 2000 UTC, 0100 UTC - Current UTC time: 19-10-2018 01:18


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Day 2


Categorical Day 1 Outlook

000
ACUS01 KWNS 190043
SWODY1
SPC AC 190041

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0741 PM CDT Thu Oct 18 2018

Valid 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few thunderstorms will remain possible across the Texas coastal
area tonight, as well as across portions of the southern High
Plains.  A couple of strikes are also possible this evening over
northern Florida, though greater lightning chances remain offshore
with land-breeze convection.

...Discussion...
As a weakening upper low continues drifting east-northeastward
across the interior West, diurnal cooling will result in decreasing
convection/thunder risk.  As such, the thunder area is being removed
from the Utah/Colorado area.

Thunder chances are also diminishing inland over northern Florida,
with the trend toward primarily offshore convection expected
overnight.

A weak upper disturbance near the southern Texas coast will continue
to support showers and the possibility for a few thunderstorms
overnight, while a similarly weak disturbance crossing the southern
High Plains may also permit a very limited lightning risk to
persist/spread north-northeastward this evening.

..Goss.. 10/19/2018

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4

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