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SPC Day 2 Outlook

Updates are issued at 100 am CST/CDT (0600/0700 UTC) and 1730 UTC - Current UTC time: Dec 16 2018 1:40 pm


Categorical Probabilistic <= Move cursor over selections to display the selected graphic below.

Day 1


Categorical Day 2 Outlook



000
ACUS02 KWNS 160526
SWODY2
SPC AC 160525

Day 2 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1125 PM CST Sat Dec 15 2018

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A few weak thunderstorms may be noted very early in the period
across portions of the San Joaquin Valley in California.

...CA...

Eastern Pacific mid-level trough is expected to separate into a
northern and southern branch as it progresses inland during the day2
period. Southern-branch short-wave trough will dig southeast across
central CA early in the period before progressing into northern
Mexico by Tuesday morning. A corridor of steep mid-level lapse rates
will extend north of the main jet but forecast buoyancy is meager
due to low PW air mass which will limit lightning with weak elevated
convection. However, a few weak thunderstorms may be noted very
early in the period across portions of CA along eastern plume of
Pacific moisture that will extend into the San Joaquin Valley. This
activity will be short lived with roughly a 2-4 hour thunder window
possible.

...MAXIMUM RISK BY HAZARD...
Tornado:  <2%     - None
Wind:     <5%     - None
Hail:     <5%     - None

..Darrow.. 12/16/2018

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com

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