Day 2

Categorical Day 1 Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.

000
ACUS01 KWNS 271929
SWODY1
SPC AC 271927

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0127 PM CST Mon Jan 27 2020

Valid 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are not expected through tonight.

No significant changes were made to the previous outlook. A minor
extension of general thunderstorm probabilities was made into the
Texas Panhandle for anticipated elevated instability tonight.

..Jewell.. 01/27/2020

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1011 AM CST Mon Jan 27 2020/

...TX vicinity...
A shortwave trough over the Four Corners area will progress into
west TX by early Tuesday, with an attendant lee cyclone tracking
from east-central NM into northwest TX. Isolated to scattered
elevated thunderstorms are expected, centered on central TX after
06Z, as ascent and moistening yields weak buoyancy from parcels
between 850-700 mb. Small hail will be possible in the strongest
updrafts, but a limited buoyancy/shear combination should preclude a
severe threat.

...Pacific Northwest...
The next in a series of shortwave troughs will reach the
WA/OR coasts overnight. Steepening low/mid-level lapse rates and
scant buoyancy rooted at the surface will reach the coast after 06Z,
as the shortwave trough and baroclinic zone progress inland.
Isolated lightning flashes are possible near the coast, but
low-level winds will be veered. Enlarged low-level hodographs should
persist longer into the night along the I-5 corridor from Salem to
Seattle, but buoyancy should remain negligible until winds veer.

$$
        

Day 3

Day 4